Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
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