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Saturday, April 27
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WA
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
CA

Wrexham
3 - 3
Crewe

Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

Parkinson will be looking for a response from his side this weekend, after the very disappointing 5-0 defeat away at Stockport County last time out. Wrexham have been very solid at home all season, winning their last three matches at the Racecourse Ground on the spin, so we expect them to bounce back with a victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 14.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
66.43% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 18.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 14.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)37.16% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)59.36% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)10.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.073 -0.07)37.7% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (-0.073 -0.07)74.48% (0.074999999999989 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 66.42%
    Crewe Alexandra 14.89%
    Draw 18.69%
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.4%
4-0 @ 4.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 66.42%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-1 Bradford (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Crewe
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-4 Crewe
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Crewe
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crewe 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Crewe (2-0 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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