Port Vale are currently enjoying an impressive run of form, having won four and drawn one of their last five competitive matches. With all three of their home matches this season resulting in victory, we think that they will utilise home advantage to beat Crewe on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
48.18% ( -1.78)	25.4% ( 0.22)	26.42% ( 1.56)

Both teams to score 51.89% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.75% (

0.26)

51.25% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.92% (

0.22)

73.08% (

-0.23)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

-0.66)

21.28% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79% (

-1.03)

54.21% (

1.02)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.92% (

1.45)

34.07% (

-1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24% (

1.53)

70.76% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 48.18%

Crewe Alexandra 26.42%

Draw 25.4%

Port Vale	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 48.18%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.42%