Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
