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League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
CA

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Crewe

Neufville (30'), Tilley (38')
Ogundere (52'), Currie (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tabiner (51'), Nevitt (90+10')
Rowe (90+13'), White (90+7')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
39.3% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 26.8% (-0.012 -0.01) 33.9% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.3% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (0.070999999999998 0.07)53.77% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (0.061 0.06)75.25% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)62.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (0.084000000000003 0.08)29.97% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.099000000000004 0.1)66.09% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 39.3%
    Crewe Alexandra 33.9%
    Draw 26.8%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.3%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Stevenage (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, September 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-4 Crewe
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Crewe
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crewe 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Crewe (2-0 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two


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