Although Wrexham have a knack for the dramatic, as you may expect given their Hollywood story, we believe their overall quality will overpower the Green, who have played better than their form suggests but are not as decisive in the attacking third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
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