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League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
MT

Wrexham
1 - 0
Mansfield

Barnett (6')
Palmer (45+2'), Scarr (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baccus (45'), Cargill (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Wrexham
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Mansfield Town

With two sides growing in confidence at the top end of League One and boasting plenty of quality, we anticipate a hard-fought and entertaining encounter in Wales on Saturday. Wrexham prevailed in two of these sides' three meetings last year and drew the other, and we back them to get over the line again at the Racecourse Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
36.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 26.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 37.41% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 52.39% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.5% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.83% (0.004999999999999 0)74.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.007000000000005 0.01)27.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)62.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 36.05%
    Mansfield Town 37.41%
    Draw 26.54%
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.05%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 37.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Wrexham
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 0-0 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-4 Mansfield
Sunday, November 3 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 3-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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