SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
46.67% ( -1.57) | 24.8% ( 0.42) | 28.53% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( -1.08) | 47.37% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( -1.01) | 69.59% ( 1.02) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( -1.09) | 20.36% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.24% ( -1.76) | 52.76% ( 1.77) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( 0.29) | 30.41% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( 0.34) | 66.61% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.67% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.53% |
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