SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
31.07% ( -0.25) | 24.08% ( -0.06) | 44.85% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( 0.15) | 42.82% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( 0.14) | 65.22% ( -0.15) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.09) | 26.39% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.45% ( -0.12) | 61.55% ( 0.11) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( 0.18) | 19.29% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( 0.31) | 51.03% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 44.85% |
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