SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 46.62%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
26.35% ( -0.08) | 27.04% ( 0.09) | 46.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.38) | 57.5% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% ( -0.3) | 78.3% ( 0.3) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% ( -0.28) | 37.53% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% ( -0.27) | 74.31% ( 0.27) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( -0.17) | 24.67% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( -0.24) | 59.2% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.35% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.61% |
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