SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
51.29% ( 0.31) | 24.5% ( 0.03) | 24.21% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 52.57% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( -0.41) | 49.34% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.37) | 71.39% ( 0.37) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.04) | 19.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( -0.06) | 50.93% ( 0.06) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( -0.52) | 34.91% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.34% ( -0.55) | 71.65% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 51.28% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 24.21% |
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