SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Shanghai Port in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Port |
17.94% ( 0.02) | 20.99% ( -0.02) | 61.08% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( 0.15) | 42.02% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.15) | 64.42% ( -0.14) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( 0.11) | 36.97% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( 0.11) | 73.76% ( -0.11) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( 0.05) | 13.29% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.9% ( 0.09) | 40.1% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.94% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.99% | 0-2 @ 10% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.96% ( -0)0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 61.07% |
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