SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 79.15%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 7.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.16%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fakel |
79.15% ( 0.36) | 13.68% ( -0.23) | 7.17% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.37% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.1% ( 0.67) | 35.9% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.01% ( 0.73) | 57.98% ( -0.73) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.8% ( 0.22) | 7.2% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.85% ( 0.58) | 26.15% ( -0.58) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.89% ( 0.14) | 51.1% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.59% ( 0.1) | 85.41% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fakel |
| 2-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.77% Total : 79.14% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 13.68% | 0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 7.17% |
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