SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 18.5% | 22.4% ( -0) | 59.1% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( 0) | 47.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( 0) | 69.56% ( -0.01) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0) | 39.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( 0) | 76.16% ( -0) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( 0) | 15.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.31% ( 0) | 44.69% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.95% 2-0 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.5% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 0-2 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 1.32% 0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.27% Total : 59.09% |
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