SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Sochi win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
21.44% ( 0) | 23.69% ( -0) | 54.86% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% ( 0.01) | 48.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( 0.01) | 70.92% ( -0.01) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.79% ( 0.01) | 37.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.01% ( 0.01) | 73.99% ( -0.01) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( 0) | 17.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( 0) | 48.3% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-1 @ 5.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.21% 3-1 @ 1.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.44% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 11.39% 0-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.76% 0-3 @ 5.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.86% |
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