SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
62.64% ( 0.07) | 19.79% ( -0.02) | 17.57% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.17% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% ( -0.01) | 37.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% ( -0.01) | 59.25% ( 0.01) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% ( 0.01) | 11.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64% ( 0.03) | 36% ( -0.04) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.07) | 34.4% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.89% ( -0.07) | 71.11% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.54% Total : 62.64% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.79% | 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 17.57% |
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