SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Fakel |
56.49% ( -0.24) | 24.38% ( 0.11) | 19.13% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.27% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.24) | 54.28% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( -0.2) | 75.67% ( 0.2) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( -0.18) | 19.1% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.28% ( -0.31) | 50.72% ( 0.31) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% ( 0.01) | 42.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( 0.01) | 79.13% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 19.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
