SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 88.52%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 3.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 4-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fakel |
88.52% ( 1.66) | 8.21% ( -1.12) | 3.27% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 40.26% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.41% ( 3.03) | 26.59% ( -3.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.04% ( 3.76) | 46.96% ( -3.76) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.23% ( 0.76) | 3.77% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.86% ( 2.43) | 16.14% ( -2.43) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.84% ( -0.17) | 58.16% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.32% ( -0.09) | 89.68% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fakel |
| 3-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.8)4-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.51)1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.94)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.71)2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.47)4-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.25)6-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.58)5-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.37)6-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.35)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)7-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.38% Total : 88.5% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.38% Total : 8.21% | 0-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.02% Total : 3.27% |
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