SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
44.09% ( -0.52) | 27.47% ( 0.36) | 28.45% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.24% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.04% ( -1.21) | 57.96% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% ( -0.96) | 78.65% ( 0.97) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( -0.81) | 26.13% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% ( -1.11) | 61.2% ( 1.11) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% ( -0.52) | 36.05% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% ( -0.54) | 72.83% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.09% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.45% |
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