SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
46.6% ( 0.04) | 25.75% ( -0.03) | 27.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( 0.11) | 51.86% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( 0.09) | 73.62% ( -0.09) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( 0.07) | 22.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( 0.1) | 55.68% ( -0.1) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0.05) | 33.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( 0.05) | 70.05% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.65% |
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