This may be the toughest match to call in this round as both sides boast some strong attacking pieces and outstanding goalkeeping, but the home crowd may give the Lions a slight edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Cruz Azul
39.32% ( 0.22)	25.19% ( -0.01)	35.48% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 56.93% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.33% (

0.02)

46.67% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.07% (

0.02)

68.93% (

-0.02)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

0.12)

23.5% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47% (

0.18)

57.53% (

-0.17)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

-0.11)

25.58% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55% (

-0.15)

60.45% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 39.32%

Cruz Azul 35.48%

Draw 25.19%

Orlando City	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.32%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.48%