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Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
0 - 0
Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul win 5-4 on penalties

Brekalo (46')
FT

Piovi (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Cruz Azul (Orlando City advances on penalties)

This may be the toughest match to call in this round as both sides boast some strong attacking pieces and outstanding goalkeeping, but the home crowd may give the Lions a slight edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawCruz Azul
39.32% (0.218 0.22) 25.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 35.48% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33% (0.022000000000006 0.02)46.67% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)68.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (0.124 0.12)23.5% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (0.177 0.18)57.53% (-0.175 -0.17)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.107 -0.11)25.58% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (-0.148 -0.15)60.45% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 39.32%
    Cruz Azul 35.48%
    Draw 25.19%
Orlando CityDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.32%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.19% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Atletico San Luis (5-4 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Orlando City 4-1 Montreal
Saturday, July 27 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 5-0 DC United
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cruz Azul (3-5 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Cruz Azul (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, July 21 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, July 17 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 14 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 7 at 4am in Liga MX


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