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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Orlando City |
40.45% ( 0.01) | 24.48% ( 0.01) | 35.07% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( -0.05) | 43.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( -0.05) | 65.82% ( 0.05) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( -0.02) | 21.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% ( -0.03) | 54.57% ( 0.02) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( -0.03) | 24.3% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( -0.05) | 58.67% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.07% |
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