SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Cruz Azul |
37.01% ( 1.85) | 24.58% ( -0.25) | 38.42% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% ( 1.38) | 43.66% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.95% ( 1.34) | 66.06% ( -1.33) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 1.65) | 23.35% ( -1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% ( 2.34) | 57.32% ( -2.34) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.19) | 22.63% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.75% ( -0.29) | 56.25% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Cruz Azul |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.01% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.42% |
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