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Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 3, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
1 - 1
Queretaro

Chavez (63')
Samudio (35'), Juan Vazquez (45+3'), Sambueza (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dos Santos (87')
Olivera (26'), Vera (45+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Queretaro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawQueretaro
54.65%23.18%22.16%
Both teams to score 54.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15%45.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84%68.16%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34%16.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.48%46.52%
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16%34.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43%71.57%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 54.65%
    Queretaro 22.16%
    Draw 23.17%
TolucaDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 54.65%
1-1 @ 10.96%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.12%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 22.16%

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