Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
