Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.