SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Tigres |
29.8% ( -0.06) | 27.44% ( -0.01) | 42.76% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.68% ( 0.01) | 57.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.85% ( 0.01) | 78.14% ( -0.01) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% ( -0.04) | 34.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.62% ( -0.04) | 71.38% ( 0.04) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.04) | 26.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.27% ( 0.06) | 61.72% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlas | Draw | Tigres |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.8% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.75% |
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