Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.
0.7) 
-0.83) 
