Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
