SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Pumas |
65.41% ( 0.93) | 20.37% ( -0.2) | 14.23% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( -0.61) | 46.24% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( -0.58) | 68.53% ( 0.58) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.67% ( 0.09) | 13.32% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.82% ( 0.17) | 40.18% ( -0.17) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.7% ( -1.41) | 44.3% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.63% ( -1.17) | 80.37% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigres | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 65.39% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.23% |
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