Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.