Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
