Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
