Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.
