Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
