Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Toluca

Rodriguez (7'), Alvarado (27'), Fernandez (63')
Aldrete (32')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Barbieri (44'), Canelo (45+1' pen.)
Juan Vazquez (16'), Estrada (55'), Sambueza (76'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 17.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Toluca
59.89%	22.9%	17.21%

Both teams to score 47.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71%

51.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88%

73.11%

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24%

16.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.3%

46.7%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.67%

43.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.43%

79.57%

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 59.88%

Toluca 17.21%

Draw 22.89%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.41% 5-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.82% Total : 59.88%	1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 6.07% 1-2 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.21%