Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.45) 
