SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Cruz Azul |
39.5% ( -0.07) | 26.04% ( -0.06) | 34.45% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( 0.27) | 50.55% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( 0.24) | 72.46% ( -0.25) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.08) | 25.15% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.13% ( 0.12) | 59.86% ( -0.12) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( 0.21) | 28.04% ( -0.22) |
