Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Club Leon win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
0.31) 
-0.59) 
