Toluca
1 - 2
Monterrey

Torres (71')
Torres (38'), Canelo (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vegas (51'), Meza (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Monterrey
24.98%	23.61%	51.41%

Both teams to score 56.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18%

44.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82%

67.18%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.2%

31.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76%

68.24%

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54%

17.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.06%

47.95%

Score Analysis

Toluca 24.98%

Monterrey 51.41%

Draw 23.6%

Toluca	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 6.36% 2-1 @ 6.36% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.68% Total : 24.98%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 5.63% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 2.46% 0-4 @ 2.15% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.78% Total : 51.41%