Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
