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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Feb 10, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Juarez
1 - 3
Guadalajara

Arce (10')
Olivera (49'), Arce (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arribas (44' og.), Vega (82'), Angulo (86')
Sepulveda (34')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and CD Guadalajara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
33.07%28.55%38.37%
Both teams to score 45.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.56%60.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.43%80.56%
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07%33.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4%70.6%
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5%30.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29%66.71%
Score Analysis
    Juarez 33.07%
    CD Guadalajara 38.37%
    Draw 28.54%
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 7.18%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 12.28%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.37%

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