Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 42.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
