Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
