Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pumas in this match.
