Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Pachuca
26.26% ( 0.75)	24.64% ( 0.83)	49.1% ( -1.57)

Both teams to score 54.14% (

-2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.78% (

-2.97)

48.23% (

2.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

-2.78)

70.38% (

2.78)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41% (

-0.98)

32.6% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.87% (

-1.12)

69.13% (

1.12)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32% (

-1.77)

19.68% (

1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.33% (

-2.96)

51.67% (

2.96)

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 26.26%

Pachuca 49.1%

Draw 24.63%

Mazatlan	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 26.26%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.3) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.29) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.1%