Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Mazatlan
56.92% ( 0.39)	23.76% ( -0.16)	19.32% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 48.36% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.35% (

0.36)

51.65% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.57% (

0.31)

73.43% (

-0.3)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

0.28)

17.95% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21% (

0.47)

48.79% (

-0.47)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.95% (

-0.04)

41.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.4% (

-0.04)

77.6% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Puebla 56.9%

Mazatlan 19.32%

Draw 23.76%

Puebla	Draw	Mazatlan
1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 56.9%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.76%	0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.32%