Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Necaxa.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result |
| Pachuca | Draw | Necaxa |
65.45% ( -1) | 20.31% ( 0.19) | 14.24% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( 1.51) |
| 54.03% ( 0.88) | 45.97% ( -0.89) |
| 31.72% ( 0.83) | 68.27% ( -0.83) |
| 86.77% ( -0.02) | 13.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.04) | 39.99% ( 0.04) |
| 55.89% ( 1.76) | 44.11% ( -1.76) |
