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Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 4, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
2 - 3
Juarez

Loba (45+3'), Illescas Marinelarena (90+6')
Intriago (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garcia (14'), Molina (69'), Lainez (76')
Molina (34'), Duenas (42'), Rodriguez (43')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 6-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawJuarez
39.39% (0.925 0.92) 27.41% (-0.113 -0.11) 33.2% (-0.819 -0.82)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (0.294 0.29)56.26% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (0.238 0.24)77.3% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.672 0.67)27.87% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (0.851 0.85)63.47% (-0.856 -0.86)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.398 -0.4)31.68% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (-0.457 -0.46)68.1% (0.452 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 39.39%
    Juarez 33.19%
    Draw 27.4%
MazatlanDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.187 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 33.19%

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Form Guide
Last Game: America 6-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Santos Laguna
Saturday, January 21 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-1 Mazatlan
Friday, January 13 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Mazatlan
Monday, October 3 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 24 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, September 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 4-1 Juarez
Monday, January 23 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-0 Tijuana
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 2-1 Juarez
Sunday, January 8 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-1 Pumas
Saturday, October 1 at 3am in Liga MX


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