Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Club Leon win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monterrey in this match.