Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
