Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Atlas
34.66% ( -0.07)	27.18% ( -0.07)	38.16% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 50.24% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.83% (

0.26)

55.17% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.59% (

0.22)

76.41% (

-0.22)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.82% (

0.08)

30.17% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67% (

0.1)

66.33% (

-0.1)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

0.21)

28.05% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

0.26)

63.7% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 34.66%

Atlas 38.15%

Draw 27.18%

Necaxa	Draw	Atlas
1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.66%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.15%